The Strait of Hormuz is irrelevant - we do not need it - We have won!
Donald Trump says the United States does not need the Strait of Hormuz. Europe needs it, Japan, Korea, China. Others should take care of it. Looking back: neither Europe nor Asia started this war and are now supposed to deal with the consequences? A separation between decision and responsibility. Between what is triggered and what others are expected to carry.
This narrow passage is a significant part of global oil and gas traffic. Exactly this corridor. If it is blocked, it is not just one ship somewhere that stops. Then prices shift, supply chains begin to slip, then it hits industries, households, entire economies. Also in the United States. “We do not use it. We do not need it,” Trump says. You have to look at this sentence, not just hear it. While American jets and ships operate in exactly this region, while attacks and counterattacks effectively bring the passage to a halt, the president declares it does not concern him. That is not just an attempt to ignore his own role, it is, bluntly put, already an attack on the global economy.
Europe is supposed to secure it. Japan is supposed to react. Others are supposed to intervene. The same government that leads militarily withdraws rhetorically as soon as the consequences become visible. Because whoever says they do not need this route is not just avoiding responsibility. They are actively shifting it. They declare the consequences to be someone else’s problem, even though the cause does not lie outside, but within their own actions. This has been understood in Europe. Discussions about their own deployments are gaining momentum. In Asia, pressure is growing to take a position. Out of necessity. Energy is not a question of attitude. It is a prerequisite.
The Strait of Hormuz is not an option that can simply be ignored. Anyone who downplays it politically while intervening militarily in exactly that place knows what they are doing. This is not a mistake. This is intent. And this intent has consequences. For markets, for states, for millions of people who have nothing to do with this conflict and will still pay for it. That is exactly the point. Not the sentence. But what stands behind it.
Donald Trump says the war is won. The Iranian navy eliminated, the air force disabled, air defense no longer a factor. American forces move freely. What remains, he says, is only an Iran that blocks the Strait of Hormuz. That is how he describes the situation.
At the same time, what this statement ignores becomes visible. Iran has not disappeared. Iran responds. With drones, with missiles, with exactly the method Trump himself describes. The sentence “we have taken out everything” only works if you ignore what happens afterward. Because military control here does not mean stability. It means the conflict has been shifted to a point that has global impact. And that is where the real problem lies. A war declared finished while its consequences are only just beginning. That is not a victory. That is the moment when it becomes clear how little this declaration has to do with reality.
France takes action - shadow tanker stopped, financial flows to Moscow under pressure

France is sending a clear signal in the Mediterranean and is intervening directly. The navy has detained the oil tanker Deyna, a ship authorities classify as part of Russia’s shadow fleet. This fleet is designed to circumvent sanctions by operating under false flags, obscuring ownership structures and shifting routes. This is exactly where Paris is now stepping in, making it clear that it will not remain at political statements. Emmanuel Macron openly describes such ships as war profiteers. They continue to transport Russian oil despite sanctions and secure revenues that ultimately flow back into the war. The Deyna is not an isolated case, but part of a larger system that has been under observation for months. The tanker itself is already listed on several sanctions lists, including in the EU, the United Kingdom, Canada and Ukraine, yet it remained active.
France is thus tightening its approach. While many states impose sanctions, Paris is going a step further and enforcing them in practice. In recent weeks, several similar ships have already been stopped, in some cases fined heavily and only then released. The approach shows that the strategy is changing and increasingly relies on direct intervention. The size of the shadow fleet makes the issue critical. Hundreds of aging tankers are operating worldwide, often technically questionable and difficult to track. Within a few months, millions of tons of Russian oil have been transported this way, despite price caps and trade restrictions. The system works because control at sea is complicated and many states can intervene only to a limited extent.
Macron links the action with a political message. The conflict with Iran does not distract France, support for Ukraine continues. At the same time, it aims to prevent Russia from continuing to earn money through such detours. The detention of the Deyna shows that sanctions only become effective when they are not just decided, but consistently enforced.
Trust breaks quietly - and then it is gone!
Jim Mattis was Secretary of Defense under Donald Trump. Not an activist, not a commentator, but a man from inside this system. When he speaks, it is not lightly. And that is exactly why the sentence is so heavy: America is becoming predatory, unreliable, no longer a dependable security partner. This is not an outside opinion. It is an analysis from within. “You cannot bring allies on board if they do not trust you,” he says. In that one sentence there is more than criticism. It is the description of a problem that cannot be repaired once it is exposed. Trust builds over years. It disappears faster than it was built. And that is exactly what is happening now.
While Washington acts militarily, presents itself politically in contradictory ways and at the same time puts pressure on partners, exactly this impression emerges. Uncoordinated, but also not predictable. Decisions are made, then relativized, re-explained, changed again. For allies, this is not a detail. It is the foundation of any cooperation. Mattis is naming something that has long been visible. Europe reacts more cautiously, Asian partners hesitate, even close allies ask questions that were not asked before. Anyone who is not sure whether commitments will still apply tomorrow plans differently. Militarily, economically, politically.
The problem is not only the war against Iran. It lies in the way it is being conducted. Without a clear line outward, without stable communication inward. And that is exactly where trust begins to erode. Not with a bang, but step by step. In the end, a simple reality remains. Strength is not enough if no one believes it will be used reliably. That is exactly the point Mattis describes. And that is exactly the risk that is growing.
Ground troops prepared - while restraint is still being spoken of publicly

Inside the Pentagon, it is no longer only about airstrikes. Research clearly shows that detailed preparations for the deployment of U.S. ground forces into Iran have been made. Multiple sources confirm that these plans are not theoretical, but include concrete scenarios. This stands in direct contradiction to what is being said publicly. There, the talk is of restraint, of limitation, of no deployment on the ground. At the same time, exactly this deployment is being prepared.
Such planning does not happen casually. It means that options are not only being discussed, but are entering a phase where they can be implemented at short notice. That changes the situation. A war that appears limited externally gains a second reality. One that is not communicated, but is already running in parallel. Ground troops are not a technical step. They are a decision with consequences. They bind forces, increase risks, make an exit more difficult. And yet there is no open debate. No clear decision, no public explanation, no political responsibility that is visibly taken. The research therefore shows not only a military preparation. It shows how far planning and public presentation have diverged. And that is exactly the point. Not whether it happens. But that it is being prepared - while at the same time the opposite is being claimed.
Moscow without a network - How shutdowns push a megacity backward

Two weeks are enough to show how vulnerable a modern city is. In Moscow, mobile internet breaks down, first in patches, then more and more broadly. What is sold as a security measure reaches deep into everyday life. Shops accept only cash because cash register systems can no longer connect to external servers. Loyalty programs, payment processing, even simple transactions fail due to missing connectivity. Kirill, who works with point-of-sale systems, describes the situation bluntly. The devices work, but the data behind them is missing. So only cash remains. Right around March 8, one of the strongest sales days, many stores lose revenue. Official explanations come quickly. Dmitry Peskov speaks of security. A few days later, it is said that parts of the network are available again. But that applies only to a limited selection. Major platforms like Yandex or VKontakte work in places, other services remain excluded. Small providers, independent shops, taxi apps, even basic infrastructure fall through the cracks. And even the approved services do not run reliably.
The consequences are visible in everyday life. Students at the Higher School of Economics can no longer load their programs, classes revert to pen and paper. Airports struggle with long lines because digital processing stalls. Theaters demand printed tickets again. Government portals collapse. Even simple things become unpredictable. Anyone ordering a taxi often no longer knows where it is. Leave a building with Wi-Fi and the connection ends abruptly. The economic damage is significant. After just five days, losses are estimated at three to five billion rubles. Mikhail Klimarev from the Internet Protection Society considers even higher figures possible. A complete outage would cost around 60 million dollars per day. Even with current restrictions, a substantial portion of that sum remains.
Areas that rely entirely on mobile data are hit particularly hard. Delivery services, taxis, car sharing, retail. Without connectivity, logistics systems fail, routes cannot be adjusted, payments stall. Companies try to adapt, use fixed lines, foreign SIM cards, offline maps. But that is only a workaround. Darbinyan calls it a catastrophe for businesses. The city itself also loses functionality. Services like Mos.ru largely collapse. Vladimir Ryazansky, who operates digital systems for residential buildings, reports that interfaces barely function anymore. Requests go unanswered. Even official bots for meter readings fail. Bus displays show incorrect times because real-time data is missing. Barriers in courtyards remain open because they cannot operate without mobile connectivity. Parking systems function only partially, payments have to be settled later.
In transport, the situation worsens. Car sharing vehicles can be opened via Bluetooth, but their location is often inaccurate. Users search for cars based on photos. Taxi drivers report declining income because fewer trips are possible. Navigation problems lead to conflicts with customers. At the same time, security risks increase. Drivers report attacks and avoid cash, even though it is often the only form of payment. State structures are also affected. In hospitals, an internal communication system fails, staff switch to email. Even within administration, gaps appear. Only public Wi-Fi sees a boom. Usage increases significantly, the city is already considering expansion.
Meanwhile, the problem spreads. In St. Petersburg, similar restrictions begin, in the Moscow region additional areas follow. Authorities promise to gradually restore more services. But even where that happens, fundamental problems remain. Taxi drivers report they can only accept rides from home because only there stable internet is available. Navigation remains unreliable, income continues to decline.
For many businesses, the situation becomes existential. Those dependent on platforms like YouTube or Telegram lose reach. Russian alternatives do not have enough users. Advertising becomes risky because certain platforms are officially discouraged. Even where content is transmitted, it often remains invisible. The political direction is clear. A new law allows internet access to be interrupted at any time, regardless of concrete threats. The technical infrastructure for this is already in place. Filters sit with all major providers. Access is controlled, data is selectively passed through.
What emerges is not a temporary state of emergency, but a permanently altered system. Users learn to work with detours. VPN connections are set up, data traffic is disguised, connections are masked. For many, this recalls earlier times. Vsevolod describes it with an image from his childhood. Back then, his father stretched antennas across the apartment to receive banned broadcasts. Today something similar is happening, only digitally. Moscow was long considered one of the most modern cities in Europe. Many processes were digital, fast, efficient. Within a few days, it becomes clear how quickly this structure collapses when its foundation is removed. The city continues to function. But it functions differently. Slower, less reliable, fragmented. And above all with the certainty that the old state will not simply return.
Epstein associate with links to Moscow - trail leads into state structures

A former close associate of Jeffrey Epstein is again in focus, this time because of her background. Svetlana Pozhidayeva, who later operated under the name Sofia Platt, comes from a family with direct connections to Russian security and state structures. Her father received his pension through the domestic intelligence service FSB, worked on projects related to Iran and was embedded in networks connected to state corporations such as Rostec and the Russian Railways. Her mother also moved within state-affiliated circles. Research showed connections to structures of the presidential administration, to the energy company Lukoil and to organizations of former military linguists. The environment does not appear random, but shows clear proximity to state apparatuses.
The timing of the name change is notable. In 2020, shortly after Epstein’s death, Pozhidayeva received a new passport as Sofia Platt, but retained key identification numbers from Russia. Shortly afterward, she left the country and continued her work in the United States, including in venture capital and fundraising. Since the 2010s, she was considered part of Epstein’s closest circle. She organized flights and, according to released documents, was in regular contact with him. At the same time, there is a second account of her role. She is said to have stated that she worked for Epstein under pressure and later saw herself as a victim, which is why she changed her identity.
The investigation is not yet complete. There is currently no evidence of a targeted Russian operation in Epstein’s environment, only many indications. What remains, however, is a network of family connections to security-related structures, a later change of identity and a career that continues seamlessly in the United States. It is precisely this combination that raises questions that have not yet been answered.
At the End a Kaizen Moment of the War:

At the end, a Kaizen moment of the war:
Tehran - The war does not take a holiday. It waits. The rockets that came and will come again have left a brief gap today, and Tehran uses it, the way people use gaps who have learned they do not last. Nowruz is here, Ramadan is ending, Eid al-Fitr, in a city that knows the next siren is not a question of if, but when. The Haft-Seen table still stands. Seven things, seven initial letters, seven promises for a new year. Sabzeh, Samanu, Sib. Green, sweet, red. Life, health, beauty. Anyone who sets this table explains nothing and proves everything. The world looks briefly, sends greetings, wishes strength and brighter mornings, and that is not nothing. But Tehran does not need greetings. It needs time, which no one has right now.
Nowruz and what it means if you do not know it
Nowruz is not a holiday in the usual sense. Not merely a religious date, not merely a state event, not the decree of any institution. It comes because the Earth turns, and because, thousands of years ago, people chose to mark this moment. The moment when spring begins, when the days grow longer, when something ends and something begins. The Haft-Seen table is its visible expression. Seven items, all beginning with the same letter in Persian, each with its own meaning. Renewal. Health. Prosperity. Happiness. It is a language of objects, old and precise, that needs no translation once you have seen it. This year, that table stands in Tehran between missile strikes and ceasefire rumors, between grief and the stubborn will to acknowledge spring anyway. Life does not ask whether the moment is convenient. It takes it.
You can block roads, shut down transmitters, ban tables - but you cannot forbid someone from opening the window in the morning and deciding that this day still counts. This is not a strength you train. It is something older. Something that sits deeper than fear and is quieter than courage. Life knows no ideology. It knows only the next moment.

Wie immer lesenswert, informativ und klug geschrieben. Danke dafür
Vielen Dank für die netten Worte
„Wir haben gewonnen“ …. aber aufräumen und sich um die Folgen kümmern, sollen Andere.
Die, diesen Krieg weder wollten, noch ihn unterstützen.
Sie sollen so, da die USA entgegen der Ankündigungen immer noch bombardiert und der Iran reagiert, aktiv ins Kriegsgeschehen eingebunden werden.
Perfider Plan.
Wahrscheinlich hat Trump nicht so weit gedacht, dazu ist er schlicht zu dumm.
Aber nun kann er es prima nutzen.
Er hat den Iran bombardiert, „alles Gefährliche“ zerstört. Damit die Hauptarbeit gemacht.
Nun müssen die anderen Staaten ran, wenn sie nicht zu feige sind….
Tolle Propaganda.
Und leider scheint es genau darauf hinaus zu laufen.
Weil die Strasse von Hormus wichtig ist.
Warum können sich die Staaten nicht zusammen tun und direkt mit dem Iran verhandeln.
ja, es ist immer noch das terroristische Mullah-Regime.
aber die Alternative wäre ein Flächenbrandkrieg über Jahre im Nahen Osten.
Und Merz derweil „Kritik“, aber wir dürfen die Verbindungen nicht kappen. Die USA sind ein wichtiger Verbündeter (guckt Merz wirklich Nachrichten… ich empfehle ihm dringlichst den Kaizen Blog) und deswegen lädt er Trump nach Deutschland ein.
Die AfD wird jubeln, der Rest eher 🤮🤮
Ein dickes Lob an Macron.
Sanktionen sind nur so viel Wert, wie sie umgesetzt werden.
Und daran hapert es massiv. Seit Anbeginn des Krieges gegen die Ukraine.
Putin ist sowieso der absolute Gewinner im Irankrieg.
Russland hat genug Öl.
Staaten die sich nicht an den Sanktionen beteiligen kaufen zu hohen Preisen und spülen Milliarden in Putins Kriegskasse.
Dazu lockert die USA die Sanktionen auf russische Ölverkäufe, noch mehr Milliarden.
Waffen gehen vermehrt in den Nahen Osten und fehlen in der Ukraine, auch ein Gewinn für Putin.
Europa soll die Strasse von Hormus sichern, das bindet Kapazitäten und schwächt die Verteidigung Europas an den Außengrenzen. Gut für Putin.
Manchmal kommt in mir dieser verrückte Gedanke, dass das alles der Plan war.
Von Trump und Putin.
Putin gewinnt.
Trump demonstriert „Stärke“
Europa/Nato stehen als die Dummen da, weil sie einfach nicht in die Gänge kommen.
absolut, macron glänzt noch raus, ansonsten doch recht trostlos was da passiert, während putin ein tänzchen nach dem nächsten machen dürfte …
Jim Mattis Worte sind die ehrlichsten aus dem Munde eines hochrangigen Republikaners:
„…Amerika werde räuberisch, unzuverlässig, kein verlässlicher Sicherheitspartner mehr. Man kann Verbündete nicht an Bord holen, wenn sie einem nicht vertrauen …“
Dem ist nichts hinzuzufügen.
Das sollte sich jeder EU-Staatsführer, jeder NATO-Staatführer verinnerlichen!
👍
Autokratien und Diktaturen wollen keine freie Presse, keine Kanäle die nicht 100% auf Linie sind.
Denn sie gefährden die Macht.
Und das will man um jeden Preis verhindern.
Damals, zur Zeiten des kalten Krieges, ging es um Radio- und Fernsehantennen.
In der DDR sind Stasimitarbeiter durch die Strassen gefahren und haben gecheckt, ob Antennen so ausgerichtet waren, dass man Westfernsehen empfangen konnte.
Da war das Radio die einzige Chance ungesehen an Informationen zu kommen. Denn Antennen innen wurden nicht gesehen.
In Russland war es ähnlich.
Der KGB war überall.
Und nun trifft es die digitale Welt.
Internet, dass in vielen Bereichen unerlässlich und unersetzbar ist.
Putin will, großangelegt, Gehirnwäsche betreiben.
Zugang nur noch zu Staatsinformationen.
Dazu das Überwachungsprogramm, welches auch der Iran nutzt.
Es geht zurück zu den alten „Agententricks“.
Papier, Bücher, tote Briefkästen.
die guten medien brauchen einfach mehr unterstützung, denn wenn die stimme der investigativen wegfällt, dann sieht es düster aus, auch wenn das heute nicht so realisiert wird
Epstein Files, es wird Jahre dauern alle Puzzleteile (soweit vorhanden) zusammen zu setzen.
Um ein möglichst realistisches Bild mit fundierten Fakten zu zeichnen.
Ich bekomme nur nicht aus dem Kopf, dass Ivanka Trump aus dem jetzt ehemaligen Ostblock stammte, genau wie Melania.
Vielleicht Zufall.
Vielleicht aber auch der Beginn von „Krasnov“.
Alles reine Soekulation.
Aber solch Gedanken schießen einem durch den Kopf.
…man muss mindestens noch 1 jahr rechnen, bis die recherchen soweit sind, dass du überhaupt recherchieren kannst. einzelne storys werden immer kommen, eine geschichte hier, eine geschichte da, doch was wirklich abgelaufen ist, das wird noch dauern, aber egal, wir haben ausdauer …
„Wir haben gewonnen“ und gleichzeitig wird ein möglicher Einsatz von Bodentruppen vorbereitet.
Trump oder zumindest einigen Leuten im Pentagon ist klar, dass Israel alleine den Iran „nicht im Zaum halten“ kann.
Schon gar nicht, da Israel mit dem Libanon den nächsten Krieg angezettelt hat und die Lage in Gaza sehr fragil ist.
Bodentruppen haben nach den Traumata aus Vietnam, Irak und Afghanistan keinen großen Rückhalt in der Bevölkerung.
Aber darauf hat Trump schon immer 💩💩
Danke für diesen Bericht über Nowruz ❤️
gerne